© 2023-2024 Oriental Institute, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Kevin L. Schwartz, and Ameem Lutfi
Before
the
9/11
tragedy
struck
American
soil,
U.S.
facilities
in
the
Persian
Gulf
region
were
placed
on
a
heightened
state
of
alert
,
as
U.S.
authorities
were
informed
that
“American
citizens
abroad
may
be
targeted
by
extremist
groups
with
links
to
bin
Laden’s
organisation,
Al-Qaeda.”
The
threats
of
terrorism
were
already
evident
in
the
years
prior,
including
the
suicide
attacks
in
2000
targeting
the
USS
Cole
as
it
refuelled
in
Aden,
and
the
1996
Khobar
Towers
explosions
in
Saudi
Arabia
aimed
at
U.S.
troops
deployed
under
Operation
Southern
Watch.
During
the
summer
of
2001,
the
Pew
Research
Center
found
that
terrorism
was
perceived
as
a
greater
threat
by
the
American
public
than
China’s emergence as a world power or Saddam Hussein’s continued rule in Iraq.
Fast-forward
to
twenty
years
after
9/11.
The
Biden
administration
completed
the
withdrawal
of
U.S.
troops
from
Afghanistan.
More
recently,
President
Biden
declared
that
“justice
has
been
delivered”
after
taking
out
Ayman
al-Zawahiri,
whose
demise
comes
eleven
years
after
his
predecessor,
Osama
Bin
Laden.
The
president’s
words
were
crafted
as
if
to
signal
a
form
of
closure,
earning
him
a
winning
narrative
given
the
wider
context
of
the
war
in
Ukraine,
spiking
inflation,
and
competition
with
China.
The
reconfigured
landscape
of
global
affairs
means
that
terrorism—as
an
existential
threat—has
fallen
down
the
pecking
order,
at
least
for
the
U.S.
public.
The
same
Pew
Research
Center
conducted
a
survey
for
U.S.
adults
in
early
2021
and
found
that:
(1)
protecting
American
jobs
should
be
given
top
priority
(at
75
percent),
followed
by
(2)
reducing
the
spread
of
diseases
(at
71
percent).
While
“measures
to
protect
the
U.S.
from
terrorist attacks” comes in third, the share who believe countering China should take precedence in foreign policy has “increased from about a third to roughly half since 2018.”
Where
do
the
Gulf
Arab
states
stand
then
and
now?
The
narrative
of
violent
Islam,
which
became
synonymous
with
the
Arab-Muslim
world,
was
compounded
by
the
backgrounds
of
the
19
9/11
hijackers,
who
hailed
from
Saudi
Arabia,
the
United
Arab
Emirates,
Lebanon,
and
Egypt.
In
the
immediate
post-9/11
era,
the
Gulf
Cooperation
Council
(GCC)
states,
as
explained
by
Rory
Miller,
a
Professor
of
Government
at
Georgetown
University-Qatar,
moved
to
deal
with
the
regional
terror
threat
with
“three
distinct
but
overlapping
approaches”:
(1)
statements
and
declarations
that
set
the
parameters
for
counter-terror
cooperation;
(2)
practical
actions
that
restricted
the
transnational
nature
of
terror
acts;
and
(3)
practical
agreements
that
expanded
cross-border intelligence cooperation.
1
In
more
recent
times,
the
U.S.
Committee
on
Foreign
Affairs
in
2016
asserted
that,
in
analytical
terms,
the
individuals
who
live
in
Saudi
Arabia
and
financially
support
terrorism
should
be
separated
from
the
kingdom’s
government,
which
has
“adopted
strict
laws
prohibiting
terrorist
finance.”
The
same
committee
hearing
shared
concerns
about
Saudi
charities
funding
terrorist
groups
and
foreign
fighters.
Yet,
under
the
kingdom’s
de-facto
leader,
Crown
Prince
Mohammed
bin
Salman,
analysts
have
indicated
that
such
a
funding
tap
has
now
dried
up.
On
the
whole,
the
GCC
states
have,
besides
military
efforts,
addressed
extremism
within
their
borders
by
means
of
rehabilitation
and
reintegration,
religious
leader
engagement,
and
countering
the
finance
of
terrorism.
Tackling
terrorism
is
but
one
of
many
priorities
for
the
Gulf
states,
where
their
recalibration
of
foreign
policy
mirrors
the
Biden
administration’s
Indo-Pacific
strategy.
“Hedging”
is
the
buzzword
best
used
to
describe
the
Gulf
states’
geopolitical
strategy
amid
U.S.-China
rivalry
and
references
the
cultivation
of
ties
with
different
states
without
disrupting
an
advantageous
status
quo.
As
Washington’s
attention
shifts
towards
China—as
well
as
Russia—the
Gulf
states
have
made
similar
adjustments,
with
the
understanding
that
their
longstanding
national
security
ensured
by
the
United States is no longer as reliable as it once was.
Washington’s
preference
to
downgrade
its
involvement
in
the
Middle
East
continues
from
the
Obama
administration
when
the
president
said
“there
is
no
way
we
should
commit
to
governing
the
Middle
East
and
North
Africa.”
If
words
were
insufficient
as
proof,
the
more
recent
Afghanistan
withdrawal
debacle
had
certainly
left
a
bitter
taste
in
the
Gulf
states’
mouths
as
they
rode
to
America’s
rescue
by
helping
to
facilitate
evacuation
efforts.
Then
came
the
Russia-Ukraine
crisis
which
brought
the
energy
security—both
at
the
global
level
and
for
Europe—into
focus.
Suddenly,
the
Gulf
states
have
taken
center
stage
again.
President
Biden’s
climbdown
in
his
stance
toward
Saudi
Arabia
(after
the
Khashoggi
affair
and
labeling
the
kingdom
a
“pariah”
state),
encapsulated by his 2022 visit to Jeddah, is testament to the fact that neither Riyadh nor the rest of the Gulf states should be ignored in global affairs.
Returning
to
the
rhetoric
of
the
“war
on
terror,”
Emman
El-Badawy
,
the
Head
of
Research
at
the
Tony
Blair
Institute
for
Global
Change,
writes
that
“with
the
habit
of
viewing
the
Middle
East
through
the
lens
of
intractable
conflict,
it
is
easy
to
miss
the
opportunities
for
constructing
a
new
doctrine
for
Western
engagement.”
Even
without
the
terrorism
paradigm,
rhetoric
remains
constructed,
framed,
and
employed
as
the
user
deems
fit.
Iran’s
indirect
cooperation
with
the
U.S.
military
after
9/11,
for
instance,
helped
topple
the
Taliban
regime
in
Afghanistan
and
stabilize
a
new
government
in
Kabul,
but
Tehran
later
found
itself
part
of
an
“Axis
of
Evil”
in
President
Bush’s
State
of
the
Union
address
in
2002.
Barbara
Slavin,
Director
of
the
Future
of
Iran
Initiative
at
the
Atlantic
Council,
lamented
this
as
a
failure
to
“distinguish
properly
between
those
responsible
for
the
9/11
attacks
and
other
US
adversaries.”
Reneging
on
a
promise
bears
an
uncanny
resemblance to President Trump’s pull-out from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA), after it had taken the P5+1+EU rounds of arduous negotiations to reach an agreement.
The
ghosts
of
both
the
distant
and
recent
pasts
will
serve
as
a
reminder
to
the
Gulf
states
that
the
U.S.
has,
then
and
now,
acted
in
a
way
that
mirrors
its
own
national
interests.
So
too
can
the
Gulf
states
reorganize
their
own
priorities
according
to
what
is
usually
termed
“sovereign
decisions.”
Although
anti-terrorism
rhetoric
and
associated
operations
persist,
this
paradigm
has
been
superseded
by
other
immediate
concerns,
notably
a
perceived
diminishing
of
U.S.
interest
in
the
region.
Two
decades
ago,
anti-terrorism
rhetoric
and
ideology
compelled
the
Gulf
states
to
pick
sides
when
President
Bush
famously
declared
,
“Either
you
are
with
us,
or
you
are
with
the
terrorists.”
Today,
the
Gulf
states
are
picking
from
multiple
“baskets”
of
partnerships.
Strategic
hedging is now the name of the game.
1.
Rory Miller, “The Gulf Cooperation Council and Counter-terror Cooperation in the post-9/11 Era: A Regional Organization in Comparative Perspective,” Middle Eastern Studies
58.3 (2022): p. 436.
If you are interested in contributing an article for
the project, please send a short summary of the
proposed topic (no more than 200 words) and brief
bio to submissions@911legacies.com. For all
other matters, please contact
inquiry@911legacies.com.
CONTACT